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- What impact is the current political context having on the real estate sector?
- In a context where the French real estate market is already facing a significant crisis, the current political instability in France is raising serious concerns about its repercussions on the real estate sector.
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Projects Supporting the Real Estate Market
During the few weeks of the Barnier government, several initiatives were implemented to boost the real estate sector, including measures to encourage the construction of social housing, tax incentives for investors, and programs to support the energy renovation of older buildings. These policies aimed to meet the growing demand for housing, stimulate the economy, and support the construction industry.
Despite these efforts, certain challenges persist. Complex administrative procedures and long delays in obtaining building permits continue to slow down many projects. The significant increase in construction costs and the rising price of land make it difficult to deliver affordable housing. Meanwhile, interest rates remain volatile, influencing households’ borrowing capacity and access to property ownership.
Political Instability Raising Concerns for the Sector
The French real estate market has been thrown into uncertainty following the censure of the Barnier government. The strategic reforms designed to stimulate the sector and encourage new housing developments now appear compromised. This uncertainty could further slow down investments and undermine the confidence of key market players.
Michel Barnier’s departure has raised questions about the continuity of current housing policies. Projects initiated under his leadership could be re-evaluated or modified, creating a period of uncertainty for investors, developers, and potential buyers. This situation may delay investment decisions and affect market momentum in the short term.
Moreover, the lack of clarity regarding future housing policy directions could impact market confidence. Households may adopt a wait-and-see approach, delaying their buying or selling plans while awaiting clearer guidance from the new government.
Outlook Under the New Bayrou Government
Known for his commitment to social justice and transparency, the new Prime Minister could steer policies toward greater housing accessibility for low- and middle-income households. Reforms aimed at simplifying administrative procedures, promoting social diversity, and offering tax incentives to encourage investment in both new and existing housing—particularly for energy renovation—could be introduced. According to some sources, François Bayrou may also propose measures such as reducing administrative delays in obtaining building permits.
According to a real estate expert, “François Bayrou’s appointment could bring new momentum to housing policy in France. His understanding of social issues and his political experience are valuable assets for tackling the housing crisis in a holistic way.” However, the expert also emphasizes that “success will depend on the government’s ability to implement structural reforms and to rally market stakeholders around common objectives.”
Another specialist notes that “simplifying administrative procedures and reducing delays for construction projects are essential to energize the market. However, it is crucial that these measures are supported by a clear regulatory framework to prevent excesses and ensure the quality of construction.”
Given the particularly turbulent current economic context, the new government’s political direction will need to provide solutions to today’s challenges. The success of these initiatives will depend on the effective implementation of reforms and collaboration among the various market players. Real estate professionals and individuals alike will need to stay alert to legislative developments and adapt to new market dynamics to take advantage of emerging opportunities.
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